Minorities now surpass whites in US births

[jack404]

FOR the first time, racial and ethnic minorities make up more than half the children born in the US, capping decades of heady immigration growth that is now slowing.
New 2011 census estimates highlight sweeping changes in the nation's racial makeup and the prolonged impact of a weak economy, which is now resulting in fewer Hispanics entering the US.
"This is an important landmark," said Roderick Harrison, a former chief of racial statistics at the Census Bureau who is now a sociologist at Howard University. "This generation is growing up much more accustomed to diversity than its elders."
The report comes as the Supreme Court prepares to rule on the legality of Arizona's strict immigration law, with many states weighing similar get-tough measures.
"We remain in a dangerous period where those appealing to anti-immigration elements are fueling a divisiveness and hostility that might take decades to overcome," Harrison said.
As a whole, the nation's minority population continues to rise, following a higher-than-expected Hispanic count in the 2010 census. Minorities increased 1.9 per cent to 114.1 million, or 36.6 per cent of the total U.S. population, lifted by prior waves of immigration that brought in young families and boosted the number of Hispanic women in their prime childbearing years.
But a recent slowdown in the growth of the Hispanic and Asian populations is shifting notions on when the tipping point in US diversity will come - the time when non-Hispanic whites become a minority. After 2010 census results suggested a crossover as early as 2040, demographers now believe the pivotal moment may be pushed back several years when new projections are released in December.
The annual growth rates for Hispanics and Asians fell sharply last year to just over 2 per cent, roughly half the rates in 2000 and the lowest in more than a decade. The black growth rate stayed flat at 1 per cent.
The immigrants staying put in the US for now include Narcisa Marcelino, 34, a single mother who lives with her two daughters, ages 10 and 5, in Martinsburg, West Virginia. After crossing into the US from Mexico in 2000, she followed her brother to the eastern part of the state just outside the Baltimore-Washington region. The Martinsburg area is known for hiring hundreds of migrants annually to work in fruit orchards. Its Hispanic growth climbed from 14 per cent to 18 per cent between 2000 and 2005 before shrinking last year to 3.3 per cent, still above the national average.
Marcelino says she sells food from her home to make ends meet for her family and continues to hope that one day she will get a hearing with immigration officials to stay legally in the US. She aspires to open a restaurant and is learning English at a community college so she can help other Spanish-language speakers.
If she is eventually deported, "it wouldn't be that tragic," Marcelino said. "But because the children have been born here, this is their country. And there are more opportunities for them here."
Of the 30 large metropolitan areas showing the fastest Hispanic growth in the previous decade, all showed slower growth in 2011 than in the peak Hispanic growth years of 2005-2006, when the construction boom attracted new migrants to low-wage work. They include Lakeland, Florida; Charlotte, New Carolina; Atlanta; Provo, Utah; Las Vegas; and Phoenix. All but two - Fort Myers, Florida, and Dallas-Fort Worth - also grew more slowly last year than in 2010, hurt by the jobs slump.
Pointing to a longer-term decline in immigration, demographers believe the Hispanic population boom may have peaked.
"The Latino population is very young, which means they will continue to have a lot of births relative to the general population," said Mark Mather, associate vice president of the Population Reference Bureau. "But we're seeing a slowdown that is likely the result of multiple factors: declining Latina birth rates combined with lower immigration levels. If both of these trends continue, they will lead to big changes down the road."
William H. Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution who analysed the census data, noted that government debates over immigration enforcement may now be less pressing, given slowing growth. "The current congressional and Supreme Court interest in reducing immigration - and the concerns especially about low-skilled and undocumented Hispanic immigration - represent issues that could well be behind us," he said.
Minorities made up roughly 2.02 million, or 50.4 per cent of US births in the 12-month period ending July 2011. That compares with 37 per cent in 1990.
In all, 348 of the nation's 3143 counties, or 1 in 9, have minority populations across all age groups that total more than 50 per cent. In a sign of future U.S. race and ethnic change, the number of counties reaching the tipping point increases to more than 690, or nearly 1 in 4, when looking only at the under age 5 population.
The counties in transition include Maricopa (Phoenix), Ariz.; King (Seattle), Wash.; Travis (Austin), Texas; and Palm Beach, Florida, where recent Hispanic births are driving the increased diversity among children. Also high on the list are suburban counties such as Fairfax, Virginia, just outside the nation's capital, and Westchester, New York, near New York City, where more open spaces are a draw for young families who are increasingly minority.
According to the latest data, the percentage growth of Hispanics slowed from 4.2 per cent in 2001 to 2.5 per cent last year. Their population growth would have been even lower if it weren't for their relatively high fertility rates - seven births for every death. The median age of US Hispanics is 27.6 years.
Births actually have been declining for both whites and minorities as many women postponed having children during the economic slump. But the drop since 2008 has been larger for whites, who have a median age of 42. The number of white births fell by 11.4 per cent, compared with 3.2 per cent for minorities, according to Kenneth Johnson, a sociologist at the University of New Hampshire.
Asian population increases also slowed, from 4.5 per cent in 2001 to about 2.2 per cent. Hispanics and Asians still are the two fastest-growing minority groups, making up about 16.7 per cent and 4.8 per cent of the US population, respectively.
Blacks, who comprise about 12.3 per cent of the population, have increased at a rate of about 1 percent each year. Whites have increased very little in recent years.
Other findings:
-The migration of black Americans back to the South is slowing. New destinations in the South, including Atlanta, Charlotte, North Carolina, Raleigh, North Carolina, and Orlando, Florida, saw sharp drop-offs in black population growth as the prolonged housing bust kept African-Americans locked in place in traditional big cities. Metro areas including New York, Chicago, Los Angeles and San Francisco had reduced declines or gains.
-Nine US counties in five states saw their minority populations across all age groups surpass 50 percent last year. They were Sutter and Yolo in California; Quitman in Georgia; Cumberland in New Jersey; Colfax in New Mexico; and Lynn, Mitchell, Schleicher and Swisher in Texas.
-Maverick County, Texas, had the largest share of minorities at 96.8 percent, followed by Webb County, Texas, and Wade Hampton, Alaska, both at 96 percent.
-Four states - Hawaii, California, New Mexico and Texas - as well as the District of Columbia have minority populations that exceed 50 per cent.
The census estimates used local records of births and deaths, tax records of people moving within the U.S., and census statistics on immigrants. The figures for "white" refer to those whites who are not of Hispanic ethnicity.


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[Big ugly]

Cant call em a minoriety any more can ya?

[Zhurh]

Asians taking over Anchorage, but they wanna make money and probably an asset to the state. The Indians look at us Whites as the immigrants but the Indians are ok by me. I wish the local Whites were as decent as the Indians I have gotten to know. As long as no other minorities within a few hundred miles of where I call home, I'm not too worried about them.

We did have a Mexican family here once, but the dad bugged out then a year later the wife & kids got out. Funny thing was most everybody liked them too. We get a bunch of Germans hiding out in our community, they like the freedom we all take for granted and tell us horror stories about abusive govt control that is reality in Germany; and they can get their point across in German about those sort of things.

[raven818]

2040 will be the change over. I'm wondering if the blacks will consider the hispanics white.

[jedwil]

Originally Posted by raven818

2040 will be the change over. I'm wondering if the blacks will consider the hispanics white.

Many blacks already consider Hispanics white. Many blacks consider all non blacks as whites.

[raven818]

Originally Posted by jedwil

Many blacks already consider Hispanics white. Many blacks consider all non blacks as whites.

That makes bHo white. Remember Zimmerman, it was announced yesterday, has a black grandfather. He is now officially a black-white hispanic.

[Bobitis]

Originally Posted by raven818

That makes bHo white. Remember Zimmerman, it was announced yesterday, has a black grandfather. He is now officially a black-white hispanic.

You mean he's a white-hispanic black. Black always have to have the back seat ya know. At least according to a lotta them.

Which brings up another question.

We have African Americans.
We have Native Americans.
We have Mexican Americans.
We have Chinese Americans.
We have Japanese Americans.
We have Italian Americans.
We have Irish Americans.
The list is endless.

Yet we don't have any American Americans.

Pretty sad if ya ask me.

In this day and age, American Americans are truly the minority.

[raven818]

Originally Posted by Bobitis

You mean he's a white-hispanic black. Black always have to have the back seat ya know. At least according to a lotta them.

Which brings up another question.

We have African Americans.
We have Native Americans.
We have Mexican Americans.
We have Chinese Americans.
We have Japanese Americans.
We have Italian Americans.
We have Irish Americans.
The list is endless.

Yet we don't have any American Americans.

Pretty sad if ya ask me.

In this day and age, American Americans are truly the minority.

Sure is hard to keep up with.

[DixieLandMan]

I've always taught my daughter that she is an American Indian, not Native American. She is an American first.

[Caneman]

Originally Posted by raven818

That makes bHo white. Remember Zimmerman, it was announced yesterday, has a black grandfather. He is now officially a black-white hispanic.

i believe it was reported that his father is jewish as well...

[raven818]

Originally Posted by Caneman

i believe it was reported that his father is jewish as well...

That's where Hitlers personal issues began.

[raven818]

Just had a thought...South Africa. That worked out real well.